I have bumped up the two articles on climate sensitivity because I am getting some very interesting results on that topic. Note that in both articles I achieved a result of a climate sensitivity of 0.24 °C / (W/m2 ). That corresponds to a doubling effect of CO2 at about 0.9 °C.
These articles show two independent methods that achieve the same result. One provides the basis (a theory if you will) for predicting what the Earth’s climate sensitivity is. The other article uses the local changes in solar energy to determine the climate sensitivity and it gives a comparable result to the overall one.
This matters at the moment because I have found some stunning results that require action. I am looking for assistance in putting the results together in a paper to be submitted for publication. Anyone experienced in working through that labyrinth of publication would be appreciated. This is a very important result because if it can be proven that the Earth’s climate sensitivity is less than 1 °C for a doubling of CO2 then there is almost no cause for concern. It could mean that CO2 does have some effect, but one that is limited enough to not be much of a worry.
A climate sensitivity at the 0.24 °C / (W/m2) scale would indicate that CO2 levels of 1,200 ppm would result in less than a 2 °C temperature change. That puts the IPCC projections off by more than a factor of 3. This could be a pretty significant result.
Tags: Climate Sensitivity