The drought in Texas is a terrible disaster for that state. Predicting things like this should be one of the main purposes of climate scientists. Here is the current drought index.
I had previously noted that that the Pacific has developed a cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). I have been suspecting that there is a correlation between the two events. My research has made clear that the oceans cycles dominate the weather on the land and this should not be an exception. My region has had a cool and moist year on average and Texas has had the opposite. In looking around I found this for a warm phase PDO.
This is the exact opposite pattern that the country is now experiencing. This climate impact chart is from UCLA in 2005. Here is one more example where an ocean pattern is dominating the climate across a continent. The cool phase PDO that the Pacific also appears to be strengthening. As long as this pattern holds in the Pacific it is unlikely that Texas will get relief from the drought.
If climate scientists were really doing their job they would have been all over this so Texas could have been more prepared. Such phase changes in the ocean are natural and they will continue to happen. Early detection is a key factor in preparing for droughts. We are not in control of the Earth’s climate, but we can be in charge of how prepared we are for events like this.