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Unusual Sea Surface Temperature is Developing

Here are the SSTs for October since 1998.  Usually at this time of year, the northern Pacific and Atlantic have had a positive temperature anomaly.  The opposite is true this year.  Here are the anomaly maps since 1998.   Large scale ocean events like this need to persist for months to have a major impact, […]

Posted October 21st, 2014.


2011 Global Sea Level Dropped back to 2008 Levels

2011 was an interesting year for the Earth’s oceans. The relative sea level (RSL) in 2011 was not only lower than 2010, it was also lower than 2009. All of the different satellite measurements agree with that, but perhaps even more interesting is that the European RSL measurement shows that the sea level in 2011 was even lower than it was back in 2005. That particular satellite shows that there has been almost no net change in the Earth’s sea level over the past 8 years.

Posted February 14th, 2012.


Global Sea Level Still Dropping

In the past I have used the University of Colorado for the sea level data, but I am rather disgusted by the constant tinkering that has been happening.  So I have been looking around for a more reliable source of data and I have decided to make the switch to AVISO which uses much of […]

Posted November 24th, 2011.


Coldest Early October for the Sea Surface Temperatures

One of the main ideas behind global warming is that the oceans will warm up because of the extra CO2 in the atmosphere. This is where the idea of “backradiation” as emitted by extra CO2 causes the oceans to warm up and then transfer the warmth to the bottom of the oceans. They are even adding in the idea that it takes a break for a decade or two as the heat dumps into the deeper ocean. One of the reasons they need this new idea that global warming takes a break for a decade or two is because the oceans are showing every sign of cooling. Always useful to have a new theory on hand that explains why the Earth is decidedly not following the theory of global warming.

Posted October 18th, 2011.


Pacific Ocean: A very mild ENSO at best.

For the last couple of months I have watched many statements about the developing La Nina in the Pacific. I keep a close eye on the ocean temperatures and while technically the Pacific is in a La Nina, it is a very mild one. Since La Nina is the cold phase of the ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) there are certain weather patterns associated with it. For instance, the peak years of the Texas drought in the 1950’s took place when there was a period of strong La Nina, much like the current drought started last year during another strong La Nina. While the Pacific is technically in La Nina, there is no real comparison between the two years.

Posted October 5th, 2011.

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Sea Level Update: The oceans in decline.

Over the past year I have done several articles about the rise of the sea level. It certainly looked likely at this time last year that the sea level in 2010 would be lower than 2009. That would be twice in the past decade that the sea level did not rise from one year to the next. That the sea level was not rising is a real problem for warmists everywhere. This was evident because the sea level data has been revised not once, but twice this year. Both revisions included adding built-in linear trends in the data so the trend from the 1990’s would continue in the official data. I extensively reviewed the latest update about a month ago.

Posted October 3rd, 2011.


More Monkey Business with the Mean Sea Level

The University of Colorado Sea Level Research Group updated their data in July, but oddly enough the new data was only available through mid-April. In the past these updates have tended to bring the Mean Sea Level (MSL) up to date. That is the first oddity in this update, but it is also the most trivial. This update also reversed the isostatic adjustment that they put in earlier this year. I covered the isostatic adjustment here and the previous update here. In essence they intentionally inserted a 0.25 mm/yr trend into the MSL. The result of such a ‘update’ is that it maintained the status quo 3.1 mm/yr that they have been advocating. That trend has ceased over the past 5 years.

Posted September 4th, 2011.


A few thoughts on the drought in Texas.

I had previously noted that that the Pacific has developed a cool phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). I have been suspecting that there is a correlation between the two events. My research has made clear that the oceans cycles dominate the weather on the land and this should not be an exception. My region has had a cool and moist year on average and Texas has had the opposite. In looking around I found this for a warm phase PDO.

Posted August 11th, 2011.


What is going on in the Pacific?

The Pacific Ocean is developing an interesting pattern that is different from the more well known El Nino/La Nina cycles that officially go by ENSO. Instead a very powerful cool phase of the pattern known as PDO is developing. The PDO was last in the cool phase back in the early 1970’s. Since then it has typically been in what is called the warm phase. I have compared the current pattern to the available records that extend back to 1998 and I cannot find anything that even compares to the well defined nature of the current ‘cool’ PDO.

Posted August 3rd, 2011.


Sea Level Update: Extended Revision Details

I covered the basics of the update yesterday and there has been some interesting discussion so far. Some of the ideas are mere suggestions and others are based on the information that the Sea Level Research Group (SLRG) has put out on their website. So I am going to discuss three different aspects of the update. First will be the Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) that they are using to justify the 0.3 mm/yr increase in the data. Then the suggestion that recent La Nina’s have caused the rate of sea level rise to decrease in the recent past. Finally I will show the acceleration of the new data.

Posted May 10th, 2011.


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